Assuming the number of deaths is roughly proportional to the number of cases then the "shape" of the death curve should be fairly similar in shape.

We took the shape of the "cases" curve and overlaid it on the actual death curve to give an indication of the number of deaths the "second wave" should be causing.

As you can see, the number of actual deaths recently does not correspond to the number of "expected" deaths.

It's not 100% scientific but it does give a good idea of what is actually happening. It proves that the "cases" are people who aren't ill in the same way they were in the first phase of the illness. Anecdotal evidence suggests most are asymptomatic. As Anthony Fauci himself said only this year "An epidemic is not driven by asymptomatic carriers".

So, should we be worried?

Please make a donation if you can

© 2020 Covid 19 Assembly